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Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sidama Bunna host Ethiopian Insurance in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Sidama Bunna have averaged 1 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Ethiopian Insurance's 0.9 scored and 0.76 conceded. Past meetings favor Sidama Bunna slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 26, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.81, favoring Sidama Bunna. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sidama Bunna
15%
Draws
51%
Ethiopian Insurance
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethiopian Insurance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Sidama Bunna have won more games recently than Ethiopian Insurance.
  • Model gives Sidama Bunna a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 20%
Ethiopian Insurance Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sidama Bunna Ethiopian Insurance
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 12
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Ethiopia Cup
Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance
3:2
May 6, 2026 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance
0:1
Dec 26, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Sidama Bunna
1:1
May 28, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Sidama Bunna
3:0
Oct 22, 2024 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopian Insurance
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sidama Bunna 40 / 100
Ethiopian Insurance 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sidama Bunna Ethiopian Insurance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sidama Bunna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sidama Bunna found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Ethiopian Insurance let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Difficult form: Ethiopian Insurance registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sidama Bunna VS Ethiopian Insurance
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sidama Bunna

(Home)
11 Oct
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
13 Sept
Sidama Bunna
3 : 0
Aiglons
05 Sept
Aiglons
0 : 0
Sidama Bunna
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2
Welwalo Adigrat
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1
Ethio Electric S.C.
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Ethiopian Insurance

(Away)
11 Oct
Gamo Chencha FC
0 : 2
Ethiopian Insurance
01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0
Ethiopian Insurance
27 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 3
Shire Endaselassie
21 Jun
Mechal SC
1 : 0
Ethiopian Insurance
14 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
1 : 0
Dire Dawa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopian Insurance 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Mechal SC 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Adama City 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Bahir Dar Kenema 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Sheger Ketema FC 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 St. Georges 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Halaba Ketema FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Welayta Dicha 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Fasil Kenema 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Hawassa 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Ethio Electric S.C. 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Sidama Bunna 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
17 Hadiya Hossana 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gamo Chencha FC 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)