Sport Picks
Match Events
73'
73'
Bekele B.
78'
78'
Yalewi A.
AI Match Summary
Sidama Bunna in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sidama Bunna.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sidama Bunna lately — more wins on the board than Shire Endaselassie.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Sidama Bunna have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 68%
Shire Endaselassie Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sidama Bunna | Shire Endaselassie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 13, 2026 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Shire Endaselassie
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Sidama Bunna
1:2
Apr 9, 2025 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Sidama Bunna
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Shire Endaselassie
1:0
Mar 13, 2020 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Sidama Bunna
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sidama Bunna Compare
Top Goalscorer Bekele B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yalewi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Shire Endaselassie Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sidama Bunna 41 / 100
Shire Endaselassie 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sidama Bunna Shire Endaselassie
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SID Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sidama Bunna scored in 67% of their last 33 games.
Defensive concern: Shire Endaselassie conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Sidama Bunna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sidama Bunna VS Shire Endaselassie
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sidama Bunna
(Home) 09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
14 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 2 Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 7
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0 Adama City
26 May
Sidama Bunna
3 : 2 Ethiopian Insurance
Page 1 of 4
Shire Endaselassie
(Away) 02 Jul
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 2 Sheger Ketema FC
27 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 3 Shire Endaselassie
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0 St. Georges
15 Jun
Arba Menche
2 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
29 May
Shire Endaselassie
1 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 3 Shire Endaselassie
15 Jun
Arba Menche
2 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
21 May
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
09 May
Adama City
4 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
01 May
Bahir Dar Kenema
1 : 1 Shire Endaselassie
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)