Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Siderurgica vs Sao Joao del Rei - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Siderurgica host Sao Joao del Rei in the Mineiro 3. This has Sao Joao del Rei written all over it on paper. Siderurgica have averaged 0 scored and 3 conceded recently, against Sao Joao del Rei's 0.75 scored and 0.5 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.80 - 1.20) back Sao Joao del Rei to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Siderurgica
15%
Draws
85%
Sao Joao del Rei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Joao del Rei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Siderurgica haven't matched Sao Joao del Rei's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sao Joao del Rei a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Siderurgica Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Joao del Rei Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siderurgica Sao Joao del Rei
Matches Played 3 4
Wins 0 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 2
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 3 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siderurgica 10 / 100
Sao Joao del Rei 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siderurgica Sao Joao del Rei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Joao del Rei Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siderurgica found the back of the net in 0% of recent matches (3 games).

Sao Joao del Rei's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 4 matches.

Difficult form: Sao Joao del Rei registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siderurgica VS Sao Joao del Rei
0 Goals Scored 0.6
1.8 Goals Conceded 0.4
40% Over 1.5 20%
40% Over 2.5 0%
20% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Siderurgica

(Home)
03 Oct
Siderurgica
0 : 3
Araxa
27 Sept
Siderurgica
0 : 1
Betim FC 2
19 Sept
Paracatu
5 : 0
Siderurgica

Sao Joao del Rei

(Away)
09 Oct
Sao Joao del Rei
1 : 0
Paracatu
02 Oct
Sao Joao del Rei
0 : 1
Betim FC 2
26 Sept
Funorte EC
1 : 0
Sao Joao del Rei
18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0
Araxa

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venda Nova FC 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Nacional de Muriae 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
3 Novo Esporte 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Inter de Minas 4 1 0 3 8:7 3
5 Nova Lavras 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
6 Santarritense 3 0 0 3 1:18 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paracatu 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
2 Betim FC 2 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
3 Sao Joao del Rei 4 2 0 2 3:2 6
4 Araxa 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
5 Funorte EC 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
6 Siderurgica 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)