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Sidi Bouzid vs Ariana

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Letaief A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Sidi Bouzid and Ariana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sidi Bouzid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sidi Bouzid
20%
Draws
80%
Ariana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ariana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Ariana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Ariana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Sidi Bouzid Clean Sheet 14%
Ariana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sidi Bouzid Ariana
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.77 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Ligue 2
Ariana vs Sidi Bouzid
3:0
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Sidi Bouzid vs Ariana
1:0
Jun 28, 2020 Ligue 2
Sidi Bouzid vs Ariana
0:0
Dec 22, 2019 Ligue 2
Ariana vs Sidi Bouzid
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sidi Bouzid Compare

Top Goalscorer Letaief A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ariana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sidi Bouzid 10 / 100
Ariana 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sidi Bouzid Ariana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ariana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ariana has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Sidi Bouzid's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ariana's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sidi Bouzid VS Ariana
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sidi Bouzid

(Home)
12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2
Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2
Bouchamma
28 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 5
Korba
19 Apr
Ariana
3 : 0
Sidi Bouzid
11 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 3
Jendouba Sport
Page 1 of 6

Ariana

(Away)
16 Aug
Club Africain
2 : 0
Ariana
12 May
Moknine
1 : 1
Ariana
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1
Gafsa
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0
Ariana
19 Apr
Ariana
3 : 0
Sidi Bouzid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)