Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sidi Bouzid vs ES Jerba

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Dkhilalli S.
57' Event
Barhoumi M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between Sidi Bouzid and ES Jerba finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sidi Bouzid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sidi Bouzid
15%
Draws
85%
ES Jerba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ES Jerba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ES Jerba come out ahead of Sidi Bouzid on wins alone.
  • ES Jerba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Sidi Bouzid Clean Sheet 17%
ES Jerba Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sidi Bouzid ES Jerba
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.74 0.57
Goals Conceded 2.06 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Ligue 2
Sidi Bouzid vs ES Jerba
2:0
Dec 25, 2024 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs Sidi Bouzid
1:0
May 12, 2024 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs Sidi Bouzid
2:2
Dec 3, 2023 Ligue 2
Sidi Bouzid vs ES Jerba
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sidi Bouzid Compare

Top Goalscorer Dkhilalli S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barhoumi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

ES Jerba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sidi Bouzid 10 / 100
ES Jerba 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sidi Bouzid ES Jerba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ES Jerba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ES Jerba has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Sidi Bouzid's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Away concern: ES Jerba has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sidi Bouzid VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sidi Bouzid

(Home)
12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2
Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2
Bouchamma
28 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 5
Korba
19 Apr
Ariana
3 : 0
Sidi Bouzid
11 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 3
Jendouba Sport
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ES Jerba

(Away)
23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2
ES Jerba
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1
Chebba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0
ES Jerba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2
ES Jerba
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Marsa 26 15 8 3 40:17 53
2 Megrine 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Jendouba Sport 26 14 7 5 38:19 49
4 Hamam-Sousse 26 8 12 6 36:28 36
5 Korba 26 9 9 8 22:28 36
6 Hammam-Lif 26 8 10 8 25:26 34
7 Msaken 26 7 12 7 18:17 33
8 Ariana 26 10 3 13 33:33 33
9 Kalaa 26 8 7 11 30:34 31
10 EM Mahdia 26 9 4 13 26:37 31
11 Moknine 26 7 9 10 27:30 30
12 Menzel Bourguiba 26 7 9 10 18:27 30
13 Oued Ellil 26 6 9 11 23:32 27
14 Rades 26 2 8 16 16:50 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS Kairouan 26 15 9 2 30:11 54
2 Kasserine 26 16 5 5 36:17 53
3 Kerkennah 26 12 8 6 36:21 44
4 Sfax Railways 26 12 8 6 35:22 44
5 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 13 5 8 32:23 44
6 BS Bouhajla 26 9 6 11 21:22 33
7 Redeyef 26 10 3 13 23:25 33
8 Djelma 26 9 5 12 26:26 32
9 Sidi Bouzid 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
10 Chebba 26 9 5 12 24:29 32
11 Stade Gabesien 26 8 6 12 13:23 30
12 AS Agareb 26 7 9 10 23:35 30
13 ES Jerba 26 6 8 12 15:24 26
14 Espoir Rogba 26 3 5 18 19:54 13
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)