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Siegen vs Marl-Huls

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2017/2018 Leimbachstadion
Sun, Apr 22, 2018
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Siegen play Marl-Huls in the Oberliga Westfalen 2017/2018. Siegen are favorites here. Recently, Siegen averaged 1.96 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Marl-Huls averaged 1 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Siegen won 0, Marl-Huls won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 22, 2018 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Siegen and 1.00 for Marl-Huls. This points to a Siegen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Siegen
25%
Draws
15%
Marl-Huls
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Siegen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Siegen picked up more points recently compared to Marl-Huls.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Siegen Clean Sheet 23%
Marl-Huls Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siegen Marl-Huls
Matches Played 27 4
Wins 11 1
Draws 7 1
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.96 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Oberliga Westfalen
Siegen vs Marl-Huls
0:0
Oct 29, 2017 Oberliga Westfalen
Marl-Huls vs Siegen
0:0
Mar 24, 2016 Oberliga Westfalen
Marl-Huls vs Siegen
3:1
Sep 27, 2015 Oberliga Westfalen
Siegen vs Marl-Huls
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siegen 59 / 100
Marl-Huls 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siegen Marl-Huls

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siegen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Siegen & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Siegen attacking → ← attacking Marl-Huls

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siegen scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Marl-Huls let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Siegen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Marl-Huls lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 4
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

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5TuS Haltern301731044:3654
6Schalke II30158751:2453
7Brunninghausen301551062:5550
8Eintracht Rheine301251354:6241
9Westfalia Herne309101152:5637
10Sprockhovel30981352:5835
11Siegen30961546:5433
12TUS Ennepetal30951641:5932
13Paderborn II30851750:5729
14Ahlen30781541:5829
15Arminia Bielefeld II30722133:6723
16Gutersloh30561924:6421
17Marl-Huls00000:00
18SC Hassel00000:00