Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Siegen vs SSVg Velbert

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West 2025/2026 Leimbachstadion, Siegen
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Mockschan C.
40' Event
Ramaj E.
69' Event
Guclu A.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga West 2025/2026 game between Siegen and SSVg Velbert finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siegen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Siegen
6%
Draws
4%
SSVg Velbert
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Siegen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Siegen come out ahead of SSVg Velbert on wins alone.
  • Siegen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Regionalliga West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Siegen Clean Sheet 14%
SSVg Velbert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siegen SSVg Velbert
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 2.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Regionalliga West
Siegen vs SSVg Velbert
3:1
Nov 28, 2025 Regionalliga West
SSVg Velbert vs Siegen
2:2
Jul 27, 2019 Club Friendly
SSVg Velbert vs Siegen
3:2
Jul 22, 2016 Club Friendly
SSVg Velbert vs Siegen
1:1
Apr 5, 2014 Regionalliga West
Siegen vs SSVg Velbert
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramaj E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guclu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

SSVg Velbert Compare

Top Goalscorer Mockschan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siegen 84 / 100
SSVg Velbert 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siegen SSVg Velbert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SSVg Velbert has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Siegen found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Siegen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Siegen VS SSVg Velbert
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Siegen

(Home)
25 Jul
TSV Steinbach Haiger
2 : 8
Siegen
18 Jul
Siegen
5 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt II
11 Jul
Siegen
0 : 1
TuS Koblenz
04 Jul
Fernwald
0 : 6
Siegen
27 Jun
Siegen
6 : 0
Cosmos Koblenz
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SSVg Velbert

(Away)
12 Jul
Sprockhovel
2 : 6
SSVg Velbert
05 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
2 : 1
SSVg Velbert
16 May
Siegen
3 : 1
SSVg Velbert
08 May
SSVg Velbert
1 : 3
Paderborn II
02 May
Wiedenbruck
1 : 0
SSVg Velbert
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fortuna Koln342010471:3070
2Rot-Weiss Oberhausen34199660:4066
3Schalke II34187977:5061
4Gutersloh341611755:4059
5Dortmund II341610866:5058
6B. Monchengladbach II341771061:4658
7Siegen341412862:4354
8Paderborn II3412101252:3846
9Bonner3412101238:4246
10Koln II341361555:6345
11Lotte3411121145:5545
12Dusseldorf II341171647:5840
13Bocholt341091549:5739
14Bochum II349121350:6239
15Rodinghausen34781946:6329
16Wiedenbruck34781939:6529
17Wuppertaler345111836:7026
18SSVg Velbert34672135:7225
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)