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Siegen vs SSVg Velbert

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West 2025/2026 Leimbachstadion, Siegen
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Mockschan C.
40' Event
Ramaj E.
69' Event
Guclu A.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga West 2025/2026 game between Siegen and SSVg Velbert finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siegen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Siegen
20%
Draws
42%
SSVg Velbert
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SSVg Velbert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Siegen come out ahead of SSVg Velbert on wins alone.
  • Siegen are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Regionalliga West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Siegen Clean Sheet 12%
SSVg Velbert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siegen SSVg Velbert
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.1 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Regionalliga West
Siegen vs SSVg Velbert
3:1
Nov 28, 2025 Regionalliga West
SSVg Velbert vs Siegen
2:2
Jul 27, 2019 Club Friendly
SSVg Velbert vs Siegen
3:2
Jul 22, 2016 Club Friendly
SSVg Velbert vs Siegen
1:1
Apr 5, 2014 Regionalliga West
Siegen vs SSVg Velbert
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramaj E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guclu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

SSVg Velbert Compare

Top Goalscorer Mockschan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siegen 40 / 100
SSVg Velbert 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siegen SSVg Velbert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Siegen scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: SSVg Velbert conceded in 77% of 26 recent games.

Solid form: Siegen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Siegen VS SSVg Velbert
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Siegen

(Home)
24 Sept
Siegen
0 : 3
B. Monchengladbach
18 Sept
Siegen
2 : 1
SG Wattenscheid
12 Sept
Siegen
3 : 3
Bonner
05 Sept
Bocholt
1 : 3
Siegen
02 Sept
Siegen
2 : 2
Paderborn II
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SSVg Velbert

(Away)
20 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 3
SSVg Velbert
12 Sept
SSVg Velbert
2 : 1
Buderich
06 Sept
Sonsbeck
4 : 2
SSVg Velbert
28 Aug
SSVg Velbert
3 : 5
Schonnebeck
22 Aug
SW Essen
1 : 4
SSVg Velbert
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortuna Koln 34 20 10 4 71:30 70
2 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 34 19 9 6 60:40 66
3 Schalke II 34 18 7 9 77:50 61
4 Gutersloh 34 16 11 7 55:40 59
5 Dortmund II 34 16 10 8 66:50 58
6 B. Monchengladbach II 34 17 7 10 61:46 58
7 Siegen 34 14 12 8 62:43 54
8 Paderborn II 34 12 10 12 52:38 46
9 Bonner 34 12 10 12 38:42 46
10 Koln II 34 13 6 15 55:63 45
11 Lotte 34 11 12 11 45:55 45
12 Dusseldorf II 34 11 7 16 47:58 40
13 Bocholt 34 10 9 15 49:57 39
14 Bochum II 34 9 12 13 50:62 39
15 Rodinghausen 34 7 8 19 46:63 29
16 Wiedenbruck 34 7 8 19 39:65 29
17 Wuppertaler 34 5 11 18 36:70 26
18 SSVg Velbert 34 6 7 21 35:72 25
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)