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Siello vs Galapagar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Moreno A.
57' Event
Martinez A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Siello
15%
Draws
31%
Galapagar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Galapagar haven't matched Siello's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Siello taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Siello Clean Sheet 68%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siello Galapagar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Galapagar
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Siello
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siello Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Galapagar Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siello 50 / 100
Galapagar 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siello Galapagar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siello Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siello found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Galapagar has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Siello remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Siello VS Galapagar
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Siello

(Home)
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5
Siello
26 Apr
Siello
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
19 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 1
Siello
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Galapagar

(Away)
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1
Galapagar
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)