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Siello vs San Sebastian Reyes B Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Pena E.
17' Event
Rodriguez S.

AI Match Summary

San Sebastian Reyes B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Sebastian Reyes B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Siello
15%
Draws
34%
San Sebastian Reyes B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • San Sebastian Reyes B average 1.41 goals a game right now, well clear of Siello's 1.17.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors San Sebastian Reyes B here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Siello Clean Sheet 14%
San Sebastian Reyes B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siello San Sebastian Reyes B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs San Sebastian Reyes B
0:2
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs San Sebastian Reyes B
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
San Sebastian Reyes B vs Siello
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siello Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

San Sebastian Reyes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siello 35 / 100
San Sebastian Reyes B 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siello San Sebastian Reyes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Sebastian Reyes B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siello scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

San Sebastian Reyes B let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Away concern: San Sebastian Reyes B has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Siello VS San Sebastian Reyes B
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Siello

(Home)
27 Sept
Siello
3 : 2
Mexico
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Siello
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
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San Sebastian Reyes B

(Away)
27 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
20 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 3
CP Parla Escuela
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2
Union Adarve
18 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Mostoles 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Colonia Moscardo 4 2 2 0 9:4 8
3 Galapagar 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
4 Trival Valderas 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 CD Las Rozas 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
6 Leganes B 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
7 Union Adarve 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
8 Pozuelo de Alarcon 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
9 Cala Pozuelo 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
10 RC Alcobendas 3 1 2 0 7:4 5
11 CP Parla Escuela 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
12 CF Fuenlabrada 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
13 AD Torrejon 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
14 San Sebastian Reyes B 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
15 Siello 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
16 Mexico 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
17 Rayo Vallecano B 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
18 Real Aranjuez 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)