Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E game between Siena and Mezzolara finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Siena carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Siena a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Siena | Mezzolara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 2 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 0.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Siena Compare
Mezzolara Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Siena stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Siena's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Mezzolara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Siena
(Home)Mezzolara
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Prato | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Flaminia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Follonica Gavorrano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Lucchese | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Tau | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 7 | Seravezza Pozzi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 |
| 8 | Siena | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 10 | Scandicci | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 11 | Terranuova Traiana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 12 | Sasso Marconi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 14 | SCD Progresso | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 15 | Ternana | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 16 | Grassina | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 17 | Rondinella | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 18 | Ghiviborgo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
