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Stadium Background

Sierra Leone U17 vs Liberia U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2015
Sat, Jun 28, 2014
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U17 2015. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sierra Leone U17 have averaged 1.27 scored and 2.91 conceded recently, against Liberia U17's 2 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Liberia U17 slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 31, 2023, ending 0:2. The numbers (0.56 xG vs 1.19) point toward Liberia U17. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sierra Leone U17
15%
Draws
85%
Liberia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liberia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Liberia U17 have won more games recently than Sierra Leone U17.
  • Model gives Liberia U17 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Liberia U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Liberia U17, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Liberia U17 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Sierra Leone U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Liberia U17 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sierra Leone U17 Liberia U17
Matches Played 11 9
Wins 0 4
Draws 2 2
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.27 2
Goals Conceded 2.91 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 31, 2023 Friendly International
Sierra Leone U17 vs Liberia U17
0:2
Dec 30, 2023 Friendly International
Liberia U17 vs Sierra Leone U17
3:2
Dec 28, 2023 Friendly International
Sierra Leone U17 vs Liberia U17
2:3
Dec 27, 2023 Friendly International
Liberia U17 vs Sierra Leone U17
6:2
Jun 28, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Sierra Leone U17 vs Liberia U17
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sierra Leone U17 10 / 100
Liberia U17 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sierra Leone U17 Liberia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liberia U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liberia U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 9 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Sierra Leone U17 scored in 64% of their last 11 outings.

Liberia U17 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sierra Leone U17 VS Liberia U17
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sierra Leone U17

(Home)
31 Dec
Sierra Leone U17
0 : 2
Liberia U17
30 Dec
Liberia U17
3 : 2
Sierra Leone U17
28 Dec
Sierra Leone U17
2 : 3
Liberia U17
27 Dec
Liberia U17
6 : 2
Sierra Leone U17
26 Oct
Senegal U17
3 : 0
Sierra Leone U17
Page 1 of 3

Liberia U17

(Away)
15 Mar
Egypt U17
6 : 2
Liberia U17
14 Mar
Liberia U17
1 : 1
Tanzania U17
31 Dec
Sierra Leone U17
0 : 2
Liberia U17
30 Dec
Liberia U17
3 : 2
Sierra Leone U17
28 Dec
Sierra Leone U17
2 : 3
Liberia U17
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Zambia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Botswana U17 -
Rwanda U17 -
TBD -
Seychelles U17 1
Uganda U17 5
Gabon U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Burundi U17 -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Guinea U17 -
Gambia U17 -
TBD -
Morocco U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
Guinea-Bissau U17 -
Togo U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
Central Africa U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
South Sudan U17 -
Kenya U17 -
TBD -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Namibia U17 1
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 -
Mauritania U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Benin U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania U17 -
Congo U17 -
TBD -
Sudan U17 3
Egypt U17 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Zambia U17 6
Botswana U17 0
Rwanda U17 2
Uganda U17 7
Gabon U17 3
Ethiopia U17 0
D.R. Congo U17 0
Nigeria U17 5
Guinea U17 3
Morocco U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Togo U17 1
Cameroon U17 2
Burkina Faso U17 0
South Sudan U17 -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 3
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 0
Ivory Coast U17 7
Benin U17 1
Mali U17 0
Sierra Leone U17 -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 4
Tanzania U17 0
Congo U17 1
Egypt U17 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Zambia U17 4
Uganda U17 1
Gabon U17 2
Nigeria U17 6
Guinea U17 4
Togo U17 0
Cameroon U17 4
Ghana U17 6
Angola U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 4
Mali U17 5
Tunisia U17 1
South Africa U17 4
Egypt U17 3
TBD -
TBD -