Sport Picks

Sierra Leone vs Djibouti Prediction & H2H Stats

World

World Championship 2026 Ben M'Hamed El Abdi Stadium, El Jadida

Sierra Leone

2 - 1

Djibouti

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Davies C.

Assist: Samadia E.

35'

Dadzie G.

(Penalty)

51'

Kargbo A.

Assist: Kakay O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sierra Leone in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sierra Leone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Sierra Leone

15%

Draws

42%

Djibouti

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sierra Leone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Sierra Leone lately — more wins on the board than Djibouti.
43% — that's where the model lands on Sierra Leone taking it.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Sierra Leone Clean Sheet 68%

Djibouti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sierra Leone	Djibouti
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	7	5
Draws	7	3
Losses	16	19
Goals Scored	1.1	0.78
Goals Conceded	1.6	2.59
Expected Goals (xG)	2.44	0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 World Championship

Djibouti vs Sierra Leone

1:2

Jun 5, 2024 World Championship

Sierra Leone vs Djibouti

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sierra Leone Compare

Top Goalscorer Davies C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kargbo A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.88

Avg xA / game 1.22

Djibouti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51

Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sierra Leone 95 / 100

Djibouti 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sierra Leone Djibouti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sierra Leone Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Djibouti conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Sierra Leone's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Djibouti's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sierra Leone VS Djibouti

1 Goals Scored 0.13

1 Goals Conceded 3.88

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sierra Leone

(Home)

28 Sept

Equatorial Guinea

1 : 0

Sierra Leone

24 Sept

Sierra Leone

2 : 3

Zimbabwe

09 Jun

Liberia

3 : 1

Sierra Leone

06 Jun

Sierra Leone

1 : 0

Liberia

30 Mar

Azerbaijan

2 : 1

Sierra Leone

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Djibouti

(Away)

29 Mar

South Sudan

0 : 1

Djibouti

26 Mar

Djibouti

0 : 4

South Sudan

26 Nov

Bahrain

1 : 0

Djibouti

17 Nov

Morocco B

7 : 0

Djibouti

15 Nov

Morocco B

6 : 0

Djibouti

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