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World

World Championship 2026 Ben M'Hamed El Abdi Stadium

Djibouti

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sierra Leone play Djibouti in the World Championship 2026. Sierra Leone are favorites here. Recently, Sierra Leone averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Djibouti averaged 0.38 goals scored and 4.5 conceded. In past meetings, Sierra Leone won 2, Djibouti won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 12, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.81 for Sierra Leone and 0.63 for Djibouti. This points to a Sierra Leone double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Sierra Leone

Draws

Djibouti

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sierra Leone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sierra Leone has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Djibouti.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sierra Leone.
League standings and seasonal metrics in World Championship 2026 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Sierra Leone Clean Sheet 68%

Djibouti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sierra Leone	Djibouti
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	8	5
Draws	8	3
Losses	13	21
Goals Scored	1.13	0.38
Goals Conceded	0.88	4.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 World Championship

Djibouti vs Sierra Leone

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Jun 5, 2024 World Championship

Sierra Leone vs Djibouti

Possession: 57% - 40% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sierra Leone Compare

Top Goalscorer Davies C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kargbo A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Djibouti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sierra Leone 95 / 100

Djibouti 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sierra Leone Djibouti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sierra Leone scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Djibouti let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sierra Leone went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Djibouti lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sierra Leone VS Djibouti

1.13 Goals Scored 0.38

0.88 Goals Conceded 4.5

63% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 88%

13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	10	8	2	0	20:2	26
2	Burkina Faso	10	6	3	1	23:8	21
3	Sierra Leone	10	4	3	3	12:10	15
4	Guinea Bissau	10	2	4	4	8:10	10
5	Ethiopia	10	2	3	5	9:14	9
6	Djibouti	10	0	1	9	5:33	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	10	7	3	0	22:3	24
2	D.R. Congo	10	7	1	2	15:6	22
3	Sudan	10	3	4	3	8:6	13
4	Togo	10	1	5	4	5:10	8
5	Mauritania	10	1	4	5	4:13	7
6	South Sudan	10	0	5	5	3:19	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	10	5	3	2	15:9	18
2	Nigeria	10	4	5	1	15:8	17
3	Benin	10	5	2	3	12:11	17
4	Lesotho	10	3	3	4	9:12	12
5	Rwanda	10	3	2	5	5:9	11
6	Zimbabwe	10	0	5	5	5:12	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cape Verde	10	7	2	1	16:8	23
2	Cameroon	10	5	4	1	17:5	19
3	Libya	10	4	4	2	12:10	16
4	Angola	10	2	6	2	9:8	12
5	Mauritius	10	1	3	6	7:17	6
6	Eswatini	10	0	3	7	6:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	8	8	0	0	22:2	24
2	Niger	8	5	0	3	11:10	15
3	Tanzania	8	3	1	4	6:7	10
4	Zambia	8	3	0	5	10:10	9
5	Congo	8	0	1	7	4:24	1
6	Eritrea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ivory Coast	10	8	2	0	25:0	26
2	Gabon	10	8	1	1	22:9	25
3	Gambia	10	4	1	5	27:18	13
4	Kenya	10	3	3	4	18:14	12
5	Burundi	10	3	1	6	13:13	10
6	Seychelles	10	0	0	10	2:53	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	10	8	1	1	24:8	25
2	Uganda	10	6	0	4	14:9	18
3	Mozambique	10	6	0	4	14:17	18
4	Guinea	10	4	3	3	11:8	15
5	Botswana	10	3	1	6	12:16	10
6	Somalia	10	0	1	9	3:20	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tunisia	10	9	1	0	22:0	28
2	Namibia	10	4	3	3	13:10	15
3	Liberia	10	4	3	3	13:11	15
4	Malawi	10	4	1	5	11:10	13
5	Equatorial Guinea	10	3	2	5	8:15	11
6	Sao Tome and Principe	10	1	0	9	5:26	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ghana	10	8	1	1	23:6	25
2	Madagascar	10	6	1	3	17:12	19
3	Mali	10	5	3	2	17:6	18
4	Comoros	10	5	0	5	12:13	15
5	Central Africa	10	2	2	6	11:24	8
6	Chad	10	0	1	9	5:24	1