Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex, Monrovia

Sierra Leone

0 - 2

Zambia

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Sillah I.

31'

Banda E.

49'

Fornah T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zambia in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Sierra Leone

20%

Draws

20%

Zambia

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sierra Leone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Sierra Leone at 1.17 per game, Zambia at 1.
Win probability leans Sierra Leone's way, sitting at 90%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Zambia, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Zambia have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Sierra Leone Clean Sheet 68%

Zambia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sierra Leone	Zambia
Matches Played	29	26
Wins	8	8
Draws	8	4
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1.17	1
Goals Conceded	1.52	1.58
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Sierra Leone vs Zambia

0:2

Sep 10, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Zambia vs Sierra Leone

3:2

Jan 23, 1996 Africa Cup of Nations

Zambia vs Sierra Leone

4:0

Mar 28, 1994 Africa Cup of Nations

Zambia vs Sierra Leone

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sierra Leone Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Zambia Compare

Top Goalscorer Banda E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Musonda K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sierra Leone 95 / 100

Zambia 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sierra Leone Zambia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sierra Leone Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sierra Leone scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Zambia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Zambia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sierra Leone VS Zambia

1 Goals Scored 0.5

1 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sierra Leone

(Home)

09 Jun

Liberia

3 : 1

Sierra Leone

06 Jun

Sierra Leone

1 : 0

Liberia

30 Mar

Azerbaijan

2 : 1

Sierra Leone

12 Oct

Djibouti

1 : 2

Sierra Leone

08 Oct

Sierra Leone

0 : 1

Burkina Faso

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Zambia

(Away)

31 Mar

Argentina

5 : 0

Zambia

29 Dec

Zambia

0 : 3

Morocco

26 Dec

Zambia

0 : 0

Comoros

22 Dec

Mali

1 : 1

Zambia

16 Dec

D.R. Congo

2 : 0

Zambia

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