Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sierra Leone W vs Mali W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2018
Sat, Apr 7, 2018
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations Women 2018. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Sierra Leone W at 0.72 goals for, 1.44 against; Mali W at 2.13 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Sierra Leone W slightly — 1-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.67, favoring Mali W. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sierra Leone W
30%
Draws
23%
Mali W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sierra Leone W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mali W come out ahead of Sierra Leone W on wins alone.
  • Sierra Leone W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Mali W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sierra Leone W Clean Sheet 20%
Mali W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sierra Leone W Mali W
Matches Played 18 38
Wins 3 17
Draws 3 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.72 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.44 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mali W vs Sierra Leone W
0:1
Apr 10, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Mali W vs Sierra Leone W
0:0
Apr 7, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Sierra Leone W vs Mali W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sierra Leone W 42 / 100
Mali W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sierra Leone W Mali W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sierra Leone W scored in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Mali W let in goals in 64% of their last 36 matches.

Sierra Leone W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 0.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sierra Leone W VS Mali W
1 Goals Scored 1
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.25
33% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sierra Leone W

(Home)
31 May
Sierra Leone W
1 : 0
Senegal W
29 May
Mali W
0 : 1
Sierra Leone W
26 May
Senegal W
1 : 1
Sierra Leone W
24 May
Sierra Leone W
3 : 1
Guinea W
22 May
Sierra Leone W
0 : 3
Gambia W
Page 1 of 4

Mali W

(Away)
06 Aug
Mali W
1 : 1
Ghana W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Cameroon W
2 : 1
Mali W
20 Jul
Mali W
0 : 1
Ivory Coast W
07 Jun
Burkina Faso W
2 : 2
Mali W
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Algeria W 3
Senegal W 2
Libya W 0
Ethiopia W 15
Ivory Coast W 1
Morocco W 1
Sierra Leone W -
Mali W -
Gambia W 4
Burkina Faso W 3
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Congo W 3
Central Africa W 1
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Kenya W 1
Uganda W 0
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea W -
Lesotho W 3
Eswatini W 1
TBD -
South Africa W -
Zambia W 4
Tanzania W 4
Namibia W 0
Zimbabwe W 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Algeria W 6
Ethiopia W 3
Ivory Coast W 2
Mali W 2
Gambia W 0
Nigeria W 7
Congo W 0
Cameroon W 10
Kenya W 2
Equatorial Guinea W 3
Lesotho W 0
South Africa W 7
Zambia W 2
Zimbabwe W 2
TBD -
TBD -