Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sigma Olomouc vs Mainz

Europe Europe

Conference League 2025/2026 Andruv stadion, Olomouc
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Silas
52'
Kliment J.
61'
Sub
Ghali A. In: Slavicek F.
Out: Ghali A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Conference League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Sigma Olomouc
15%
Draws
53%
Mainz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mainz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Mainz have won more games recently than Sigma Olomouc.
  • Win probability leans Mainz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mainz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Sigma Olomouc Clean Sheet 10%
Mainz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sigma Olomouc Mainz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 17
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.79 2.67
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Conference League
Mainz vs Sigma Olomouc
2:0
Mar 12, 2026 Conference League
Sigma Olomouc vs Mainz
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sigma Olomouc 10 / 100
Mainz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sigma Olomouc Mainz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mainz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sigma Olomouc's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Mainz has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Solid form: Sigma Olomouc remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sigma Olomouc VS Mainz
1.88 Goals Scored 3.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sigma Olomouc

(Home)
20 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 3
Sparta Prague
13 Sept
Plzen
2 : 3
Sigma Olomouc
09 Sept
Prostejov
3 : 2
Sigma Olomouc
05 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
3 : 0
Bohemians 1905
29 Aug
Ostrava
1 : 0
Sigma Olomouc
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Mainz

(Away)
19 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Mainz
12 Sept
Mainz
1 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5
Mainz
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0
Paderborn
23 Aug
Krieschow
0 : 9
Mainz
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
KuPS 0
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar -
TBD -
Noah 1
AZ Alkmaar 4
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
Zrinjski 1
Crystal Palace 3
AEK Larnaca -
TBD -
Jagiellonia 4
Fiorentina 5
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Shkendija Tetovo 0
Samsunspor 5
Rayo Vallecano -
TBD -
Drita 4
Celje 6
AEK -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc 3
Lausanne 2
Mainz -
TBD -
Omonia 1
Rijeka 4
Strasbourg -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar 4
AZ Alkmaar 6
Sparta Prague 1
Crystal Palace 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Fiorentina 4
Rakow Czestochowa 2
Samsunspor 2
Rayo Vallecano 3
Celje 2
AEK 4
Sigma Olomouc 0
Mainz 2
Rijeka 2
Strasbourg 3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtar 5
AZ Alkmaar 2
Crystal Palace 4
Fiorentina 2
Rayo Vallecano 4
AEK 3
Mainz 2
Strasbourg 4
Semi-finals
Shakhtar 2
Crystal Palace 5
Rayo Vallecano 2
Strasbourg 0
Final
Crystal Palace 1
Rayo Vallecano 0