Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prague

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga Andruv stadion, Olomouc
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Mercado J.
Assist: Karabec A.
38'
Rynes M.
46'
Sub
Tkac D. In: Hadas M.
Out: Tkac D.

AI Match Summary

Sparta Prague in this Chance Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Prague.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sigma Olomouc
15%
Draws
57%
Sparta Prague
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Prague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sparta Prague have won more games recently than Sigma Olomouc.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Sparta Prague taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sigma Olomouc Clean Sheet 15%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sigma Olomouc Sparta Prague
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 18
Draws 4 1
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Chance Liga
Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prague
0:3
Dec 6, 2025 Chance Liga
Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prague
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Sigma Olomouc
1:0
May 24, 2025 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Sigma Olomouc
1:1
May 14, 2025 MOL Cup
Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prague
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sigma Olomouc Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sparta Prague Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercado J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Singhateh E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sigma Olomouc 15 / 100
Sparta Prague 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sigma Olomouc Sparta Prague

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Prague Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sigma Olomouc scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Sparta Prague's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Sigma Olomouc went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sigma Olomouc VS Sparta Prague
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sigma Olomouc

(Home)
20 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 3
Sparta Prague
13 Sept
Plzen
2 : 3
Sigma Olomouc
09 Sept
Prostejov
3 : 2
Sigma Olomouc
05 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
3 : 0
Bohemians 1905
29 Aug
Ostrava
1 : 0
Sigma Olomouc
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Sparta Prague

(Away)
20 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 3
Sparta Prague
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4
Sparta Prague
12 Sept
Sparta Prague
2 : 0
Jablonec
09 Sept
Zizkov
0 : 5
Sparta Prague
06 Sept
Hradec Kralove
2 : 1
Sparta Prague
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 9 7 2 0 25:6 23
2 Liberec 9 6 2 1 13:4 20
3 Mlada Boleslav 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
4 Sigma Olomouc 9 5 1 3 16:13 16
5 Teplice 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
6 Brno 9 5 1 3 12:12 16
7 Sparta Prague 9 5 0 4 18:12 15
8 Jablonec 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
9 Hradec Kralove 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
10 Plzen 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Ostrava 9 3 1 5 7:17 10
12 Bohemians 1905 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
13 FK Pardubice 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Artis Brno 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
15 Slovacko 9 0 4 5 7:16 4
16 Zlin 9 0 1 8 8:19 1
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)