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Siheung Citizen vs Daejeon Korail Prediction & H2H Stats

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Jeon J.
90' Event
Lee M.

AI Match Summary

Siheung Citizen in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siheung Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Siheung Citizen
15%
Draws
31%
Daejeon Korail
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siheung Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Siheung Citizen lately — more wins on the board than Daejeon Korail.
  • Model gives Siheung Citizen a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Siheung Citizen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Siheung Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Daejeon Korail Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siheung Citizen Daejeon Korail
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
2:0
Apr 11, 2026 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Siheung Citizen
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
1:1
Jun 8, 2025 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Siheung Citizen
2:3
Oct 4, 2024 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Siheung Citizen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siheung Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeon J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Daejeon Korail Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siheung Citizen 95 / 100
Daejeon Korail 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siheung Citizen Daejeon Korail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siheung Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siheung Citizen's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Daejeon Korail has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Siheung Citizen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Siheung Citizen VS Daejeon Korail
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Siheung Citizen

(Home)
13 Sept
Siheung Citizen
3 : 1
Changwon
06 Sept
Yangpyeong
1 : 3
Siheung Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
29 Jul
Chungnam Asan
2 : 1
Siheung Citizen
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Daejeon Korail

(Away)
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
25 Jul
Pocheon
1 : 1
Daejeon Korail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)