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Stadium Background

Siheung Citizen vs Mokpo

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Lee G.
90' Event
Kim Tae-Heon
90' Event
Lee G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Siheung Citizen
39%
Draws
30%
Mokpo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Siheung Citizen lately — more wins on the board than Mokpo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Siheung Citizen Clean Sheet 18%
Mokpo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siheung Citizen Mokpo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Mokpo
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 K3 League
Mokpo vs Siheung Citizen
0:4
Apr 27, 2025 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Mokpo
3:1
Jul 20, 2024 K3 League
Mokpo vs Siheung Citizen
3:3
Apr 7, 2024 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Mokpo
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siheung Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Tae-Heon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Mokpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siheung Citizen 32 / 100
Mokpo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siheung Citizen Mokpo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siheung Citizen found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Mokpo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Siheung Citizen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Siheung Citizen VS Mokpo
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Siheung Citizen

(Home)
15 Jul
Daegu
0 : 1
Siheung Citizen
11 Jul
Siheung Citizen
0 : 2
Busan Kyotong
05 Jul
Siheung Citizen
0 : 6
Vietnam
04 Jul
Jincheon
1 : 2
Siheung Citizen
27 Jun
Siheung Citizen
1 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
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Mokpo

(Away)
15 Jul
Cheonan City
2 : 1
Mokpo
11 Jul
Mokpo
2 : 1
Gangneung
04 Jul
Mokpo
3 : 2
Anseong Citizen
27 Jun
Ulsan Citizen
4 : 1
Mokpo
20 Jun
Changwon
1 : 1
Mokpo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)