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Siheung Citizen vs Paju Frontier

South Korea South Korea

K3 League 2025
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Match Events

37' Event
Lee Rae-Jun
75' Event
Jeong Cheol-Woong

AI Match Summary

Siheung Citizen in this K3 League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siheung Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Siheung Citizen
44%
Draws
20%
Paju Frontier
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Siheung Citizen lately — more wins on the board than Paju Frontier.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Siheung Citizen have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Siheung Citizen Clean Sheet 25%
Paju Frontier Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siheung Citizen Paju Frontier
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Paju Frontier
2:0
Jun 29, 2025 K3 League
Paju Frontier vs Siheung Citizen
0:4
Oct 27, 2024 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Paju Frontier
3:0
Jun 16, 2024 K3 League
Paju Frontier vs Siheung Citizen
0:2
Jul 1, 2023 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Paju Frontier
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siheung Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Rae-Jun
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jeong Cheol-Woong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Paju Frontier Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siheung Citizen 37 / 100
Paju Frontier 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siheung Citizen Paju Frontier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siheung Citizen found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Paju Frontier has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Siheung Citizen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Siheung Citizen VS Paju Frontier
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimhae28187348:2061
2Siheung Citizen28176545:2557
3Pocheon28167547:2855
4Daejeon Korail28147748:3249
5Gyeongju KHNP28129734:2945
6Busan Kyotong281421235:3444
7Changwon28127931:2343
8Yangpyeong281341127:2443
9Yeoju Citizen281061231:3536
10Paju Frontier281061227:3236
11Gangneung28871338:4531
12Chuncheon28931627:3730
13Ulsan Citizen28561720:3821
14Jeonbuk 228551828:5120
15Mokpo28442018:5116