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Sileks vs Renova Prediction & H2H Stats

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2022/2023 Sileks Stadion, Kratovo
Sat, Sep 17, 2022
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sileks host Renova in the 1. MFL 2022/2023. This one's hard to separate. Sileks have averaged 1.43 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Renova's 1.25 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Sileks slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 19, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 1.25, favoring Sileks. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Sileks
30%
Draws
58%
Renova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Renova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sileks have won more games recently than Renova.
  • Model gives Renova a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Sileks Clean Sheet 19%
Renova Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sileks Renova
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 12 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.43 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 1. MFL
Renova vs Sileks
0:0
Sep 17, 2022 1. MFL
Sileks vs Renova
0:0
Apr 17, 2021 1. MFL
Renova vs Sileks
2:1
Dec 6, 2020 1. MFL
Renova vs Sileks
0:0
Aug 31, 2020 1. MFL
Sileks vs Renova
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sileks 24 / 100
Renova 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sileks Renova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sileks scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Renova conceded in 75% of 8 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sileks remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sileks VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sileks

(Home)
18 Sept
Sileks
0 : 0
Tikves
13 Sept
Sileks
2 : 2
Bregalnica Stip
07 Sept
Struga
1 : 0
Sileks
28 Aug
Sileks
0 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
24 Aug
Vardar
4 : 1
Sileks
Page 1 of 6

Renova

(Away)
14 Sept
Ljuboten Tetovo
3 : 0
Renova
15 May
Borec
1 : 5
Renova
08 May
Renova
2 : 0
FK Skopje
04 May
Tikves
0 : 1
Renova
01 May
Renova
1 : 1
Struga
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Struga 30 20 8 2 53:19 68
2 Shkupi 30 17 7 6 62:27 58
3 Shkendija Tetovo 30 16 9 5 43:23 57
4 Sileks 30 13 9 8 41:34 48
5 Bregalnica Stip 30 10 11 9 33:34 41
6 Tikves 30 11 7 12 40:37 40
7 Makedonija GP 30 10 9 11 37:33 39
8 Rabotnicki 30 11 4 15 37:48 37
9 Brera Strumica 30 6 10 14 34:38 28
10 FK Skopje 30 4 10 16 17:44 22
11 Pobeda 30 3 4 23 18:78 13
12 Renova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2023/2024 (Main)