Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sileks vs Shkupi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Alic A.
10' Event
Ferreira Pires M. A.
38' Event
Mircevski M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL 2025/2026 game between Sileks and Shkupi finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sileks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Sileks
20%
Draws
0%
Shkupi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sileks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sileks come out ahead of Shkupi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sileks a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sileks here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Sileks Clean Sheet 20%
Shkupi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sileks Shkupi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 0
Draws 7 1
Losses 11 29
Goals Scored 1.47 0.27
Goals Conceded 0.93 4.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.77 0.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 1. MFL
Sileks vs Shkupi
6:0
Nov 10, 2025 1. MFL
Sileks vs Shkupi
5:1
Aug 17, 2025 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Sileks
0:3
Apr 19, 2025 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Sileks
1:2
Nov 24, 2024 1. MFL
Shkupi vs Sileks
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sileks Compare

Top Goalscorer Alic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreira Pires M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.13
Avg xA / game 1.39

Shkupi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sileks 85 / 100
Shkupi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sileks Shkupi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sileks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shkupi let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Shkupi lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Sileks found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Sileks VS Shkupi
2.25 Goals Scored 0.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.29
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Sileks

(Home)
18 Sept
Sileks
0 : 0
Tikves
13 Sept
Sileks
2 : 2
Bregalnica Stip
07 Sept
Struga
1 : 0
Sileks
28 Aug
Sileks
0 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
24 Aug
Vardar
4 : 1
Sileks
Page 1 of 6

Shkupi

(Away)
20 Sept
Brera Strumica
7 : 0
Shkupi
13 Sept
Shkupi
0 : 4
Pelister
09 Sept
Kamenica Sasa
1 : 0
Shkupi
05 Sept
Gorno Lisice
4 : 0
Shkupi
30 Aug
Shkupi
1 : 3
Teteks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)