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Sileks vs Vardar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sileks host Vardar in the 1. MFL. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Sileks have averaged 1.41 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Vardar's 2.14 scored and 0.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Sileks have won 0 to Vardar's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 24, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.69) back Vardar to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Sileks
35%
Draws
53%
Vardar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vardar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Vardar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vardar a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. MFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vardar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sileks Clean Sheet 13%
Vardar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sileks Vardar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.41 2.14
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 1. MFL
Vardar vs Sileks
4:1
May 9, 2026 1. MFL
Vardar vs Sileks
2:1
Mar 9, 2026 1. MFL
Sileks vs Vardar
0:1
Oct 31, 2025 1. MFL
Vardar vs Sileks
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 1. MFL
Sileks vs Vardar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sileks 10 / 100
Vardar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sileks Vardar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vardar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sileks scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Sileks remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Vardar let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sileks VS Vardar
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sileks

(Home)
10 Oct
Arsimi
1 : 1
Sileks
18 Sept
Sileks
0 : 0
Tikves
13 Sept
Sileks
2 : 2
Bregalnica Stip
07 Sept
Struga
1 : 0
Sileks
28 Aug
Sileks
0 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
Page 1 of 6

Vardar

(Away)
11 Oct
FK Skopje
1 : 2
Vardar
19 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Shkendija Haracine
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3
Vardar
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
03 Sept
Ovce Pole
0 : 5
Vardar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 9 6 2 1 21:9 20
2 Struga 8 5 2 1 19:5 17
3 Vardar 9 5 2 2 16:9 17
4 Tikves 9 4 4 1 20:7 16
5 Shkendija Haracine 9 4 2 3 7:10 14
6 Sileks 9 2 4 3 14:11 10
7 Bregalnica Stip 9 3 1 5 11:16 10
8 Arsimi 9 2 3 4 7:20 9
9 Bashkimi 8 1 1 6 7:25 4
10 FK Skopje 9 0 3 6 4:14 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)