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Silva SD vs Celtiga

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Mira A. R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Silva SD and Celtiga finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Silva SD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Silva SD
30%
Draws
6%
Celtiga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Silva SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celtiga come out ahead of Silva SD on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Silva SD's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Silva SD Clean Sheet 68%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Silva SD Celtiga
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.19 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Celtiga
1:1
Mar 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Celtiga
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Silva SD
2:0
May 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Silva SD
3:1
Jan 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Celtiga
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Silva SD Compare

Top Goalscorer Mira A. R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Celtiga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Silva SD 95 / 100
Celtiga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Silva SD Celtiga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Silva SD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Silva SD has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Silva SD scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Celtiga conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Silva SD VS Celtiga
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Silva SD

(Home)
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
09 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Silva SD
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
26 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 3
Silva SD
19 Apr
Silva SD
3 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
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Celtiga

(Away)
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
01 May
Celtiga
2 : 3
Atletico Arteixo
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
19 Apr
Celtiga
0 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)