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Silva SD vs Noia

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Parafita R.
37' Event
Pineiro M.
43' Event
Parafita R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Silva SD and Noia finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Silva SD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Silva SD
20%
Draws
28%
Noia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Silva SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Silva SD come out ahead of Noia on wins alone.
  • Silva SD are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Silva SD Clean Sheet 18%
Noia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Silva SD Noia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.24 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Noia
5:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Noia vs Silva SD
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Noia
2:2
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Noia vs Silva SD
4:1
Mar 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Noia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Silva SD Compare

Top Goalscorer Parafita R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mira A. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Noia Compare

Top Goalscorer Pineiro M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Regueiro Otero M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Silva SD 85 / 100
Noia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Silva SD Noia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Silva SD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Silva SD has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Silva SD found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Silva SD VS Noia
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Silva SD

(Home)
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
09 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Silva SD
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
26 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 3
Silva SD
Page 1 of 6

Noia

(Away)
10 May
Noia
1 : 5
Gran Pena
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
19 Apr
Cambados
0 : 3
Noia
12 Apr
Noia
0 : 2
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)