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Silva SD vs Noia

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Parafita R.
37' Event
Pineiro M.
43' Event
Parafita R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Silva SD and Noia finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Silva SD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Silva SD
6%
Draws
4%
Noia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Silva SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Silva SD come out ahead of Noia on wins alone.
  • Silva SD are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Silva SD Clean Sheet 20%
Noia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Silva SD Noia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Noia
5:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Noia vs Silva SD
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Noia
2:2
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Noia vs Silva SD
4:1
Mar 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Noia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Silva SD Compare

Top Goalscorer Parafita R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mira A. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Noia Compare

Top Goalscorer Pineiro M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Regueiro Otero M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Silva SD 85 / 100
Noia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Silva SD Noia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Silva SD has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Silva SD found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Silva SD VS Noia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Silva SD

(Home)
09 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Silva SD
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
26 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 3
Silva SD
19 Apr
Silva SD
3 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
12 Apr
Alondras
1 : 1
Silva SD
Page 1 of 6

Noia

(Away)
10 May
Noia
1 : 5
Gran Pena
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
19 Apr
Cambados
0 : 3
Noia
12 Apr
Noia
0 : 2
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arosa SC342010458:3570
2Compostela341911455:2868
3Atletico Arteixo341610854:4458
4Estradense341411946:3353
5Racing Club Villalbes341313836:2952
6Gran Pena341312957:4251
7Somozas341312937:3251
8CD Boiro341312945:2951
9Lugo B3412121041:3548
10Montaneros3412121048:4248
11Barco341371435:4146
12Alondras341291345:4845
13Celtiga341171647:4840
14Viveiro349111427:4138
15Silva SD34991636:4836
16Cambados344141624:4326
17Noia34672128:5725
18Barbadas-Bentraces34472325:6919
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)