Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Simba vs Azam

Tanzania Tanzania

Federation Cup KMC Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
45'
50'

AI Match Summary

The Federation Cup game between Simba and Azam finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Simba
6%
Draws
4%
Azam
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Simba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Simba a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in Federation Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 19.6%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%
Azam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba Azam
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 24 21
Draws 7 7
Losses 0 4
Goals Scored 2.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Federation Cup
Simba vs Azam
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Simba
0:0
Jan 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Azam vs Simba
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Azam
0:2
Feb 24, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Azam
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Simba Compare

Top Goalscorer Chama C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Azam Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 95 / 100
Azam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba Azam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Simba's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Simba went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Azam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 22% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS Azam
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Simba3
Dodoma Jiji1
Namungo0
TRA United2
Coastal Union2
Pamba0
Singida Black Stars5
Mbeya City1
Geita Gold0
Mashujaa1
Azam4
Fountain Gate0
JKT Tanzania3
Mbuni0
Young Africans1
TMA Stars0
Quarter-finals
Simba4
TRA United0
Coastal Union1
Singida Black Stars0
Mashujaa0
Azam1
JKT Tanzania0
Young Africans2
Semi-finals
Simba4
Coastal Union0
Azam3
Young Africans2
Final
Simba1
Azam0