Sport Picks
Simba vs Coastal Union
Tanzania
Federation Cup KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam 
Match Events
16'
16'
Gueye L.
59'
59'
Kibabage N.
76'
76'
De Reuck R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Simba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Very High Confidence
- Simba carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Simba's way, sitting at 90%.
- Simba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Simba, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Simba have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Simba | Coastal Union |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 23 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 0 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 Federation Cup
Simba vs Coastal Union
4:0
May 21, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Simba
1:2
Apr 2, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Coastal Union
2:0
Mar 1, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Simba
0:3
Oct 4, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Coastal Union
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Simba Compare
Top Goalscorer Gueye L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kibabage N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Coastal Union Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Simba 95 / 100
Coastal Union 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Simba Coastal Union
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Simba scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Simba stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Coastal Union conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Simba VS Coastal Union
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Simba
(Home) 31 Jul
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2 Simba
28 Jul
Jamus
0 : 0 Simba
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0 Mogadishu City
04 Jul
Simba
1 : 0 Azam
30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0 Kinondoni MC
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25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0 Mogadishu City
04 Jul
Simba
1 : 0 Azam
30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0 Kinondoni MC
27 Jun
Simba
2 : 0 Singida Black Stars
20 Jun
Simba
4 : 0 Coastal Union
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Coastal Union
(Away) 30 Jun
Coastal Union
2 : 1 Pamba
27 Jun
Coastal Union
0 : 2 Azam
24 Jun
TRA United
1 : 1 Coastal Union
20 Jun
Simba
4 : 0 Coastal Union
15 Jun
Kinondoni MC
1 : 3 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6
24 Jun
TRA United
1 : 1 Coastal Union
20 Jun
Simba
4 : 0 Coastal Union
15 Jun
Kinondoni MC
1 : 3 Coastal Union
13 May
Mbeya City
0 : 2 Coastal Union
09 May
Young Africans
3 : 0 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Simba 3
Dodoma Jiji 1
Namungo 0
TRA United 2
Coastal Union 2
Pamba 0
Singida Black Stars 5
Mbeya City 1
Geita Gold 0
Mashujaa 1
Azam 4
Fountain Gate 0
JKT Tanzania 3
Mbuni 0
Young Africans 1
TMA Stars 0
Quarter-finals
Simba 4
TRA United 0
Coastal Union 1
Singida Black Stars 0
Mashujaa 0
Azam 1
JKT Tanzania 0
Young Africans 2
Semi-finals
Simba 4
Coastal Union 0
Azam 3
Young Africans 2
Final
Simba 1
Azam 0
