Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Simba vs Geita Gold

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Isamuhyo Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Chirwa A.
23' Event
Chama C.
Assist: Gueye L.
23'
Kassim M. I.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Simba and Geita Gold finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Simba
15%
Draws
18%
Geita Gold
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Simba come out ahead of Geita Gold on wins alone.
  • Model gives Simba a 67% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Simba have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Simba Clean Sheet 20%
Geita Gold Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba Geita Gold
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 31 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 1 16
Goals Scored 1.97 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.39 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Geita Gold
2:0
May 21, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Geita Gold
4:1
Feb 12, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Simba
0:1
Dec 18, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Simba
0:5
Aug 17, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Geita Gold
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Simba Compare

Top Goalscorer Chama C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gueye L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Geita Gold Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 49 / 100
Geita Gold 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba Geita Gold

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Simba scored in 87% of their last 38 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Simba went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Geita Gold let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS Geita Gold
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Simba

(Home)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1
Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 8

Geita Gold

(Away)
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
22 Aug
Geita Gold
6 : 2
Kagera Sugar
18 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Geita Gold
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 6 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Simba 6 6 0 0 11:2 18
3 Azam 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
4 Singida Black Stars 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
5 Polisi Tanzania 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 Mbeya City 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Dodoma Jiji 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
8 Mashujaa 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
9 Geita Gold 6 2 1 3 9:8 7
10 JKT Tanzania 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Coastal Union 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 TRA United 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 Namungo 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
14 Fountain Gate 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
15 Kagera Sugar 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
16 Pamba 6 0 1 5 4:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)