Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Simba vs KenGold

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Leonel Ateba
45' Event
Leonel Ateba
Assist: Nouma V.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 game between Simba and KenGold finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Simba
15%
Draws
0%
KenGold
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Simba come out ahead of KenGold on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Simba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%
KenGold Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba KenGold
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 24 3
Draws 5 7
Losses 1 20
Goals Scored 1.93 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.33 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
KenGold vs Simba
0:5
Dec 18, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs KenGold
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Simba Compare

Top Goalscorer Leonel Ateba
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

KenGold Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 95 / 100
KenGold 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba KenGold

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Simba scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

KenGold let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Simba went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Simba

(Home)
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
22 Aug
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2
Simba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2
Simba
16 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Simba
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KenGold

(Away)
22 Jun
Namungo
5 : 0
KenGold
18 Jun
KenGold
0 : 5
Simba
13 May
KenGold
0 : 2
Pamba
21 Apr
Coastal Union
2 : 1
KenGold
09 Apr
KenGold
1 : 3
Tanzania Prisons
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 27 1 2 83:10 82
2 Simba 30 25 3 2 69:13 78
3 Azam 30 19 6 5 56:19 63
4 Singida Black Stars 30 17 6 7 45:26 57
5 TRA United 30 10 8 12 28:45 38
6 JKT Tanzania 30 8 12 10 27:27 36
7 Mashujaa 30 8 11 11 29:33 35
8 Coastal Union 30 8 11 11 26:31 35
9 Namungo 30 9 8 13 28:36 35
10 Kinondoni MC 30 9 8 13 26:43 35
11 Pamba 30 8 10 12 22:33 34
12 Dodoma Jiji 30 9 7 14 31:49 34
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 8 7 15 26:46 31
14 Fountain Gate 30 8 5 17 32:58 29
15 Kagera Sugar 30 5 8 17 22:41 23
16 KenGold 30 3 7 20 22:62 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 (Relegation)