Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Simba vs Lubumbashi Sport

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Simba and Lubumbashi Sport finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lubumbashi Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Simba
6%
Draws
90%
Lubumbashi Sport
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lubumbashi Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lubumbashi Sport carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Lubumbashi Sport taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Simba Clean Sheet 10%
Lubumbashi Sport Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba Lubumbashi Sport
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.88 2.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Simba vs Lubumbashi Sport
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Simba
0:1
Feb 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Simba
0:2
Nov 24, 2024 Ligue 1
Simba vs Lubumbashi Sport
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Simba
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 10 / 100
Lubumbashi Sport 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba Lubumbashi Sport

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lubumbashi Sport has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Simba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Simba found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Simba VS Lubumbashi Sport
0.88 Goals Scored 2.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 67%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe30234357:1273
2St Eloi Lupopo30196555:2763
3Don Bosco30168643:2456
4Simba30148833:2750
5Manika301212631:2048
6Tanganyika301351238:3244
7Lubumbashi Sport301110927:2643
8Blessing301171233:3140
9Sanga Balende301061425:3436
10Saint-Luc30981321:3335
11Malole30961534:3933
12New Soger30961529:4033
13Tshinkunku307101323:4131
14Groupe Bazano30791426:3830
15Tshikas306101425:4028
16US Panda30512417:5916
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Maniema271313138:1052
2AS Vita Club271311335:1350
3Aigles du Congo26139432:1648
4Dauphins Noirs26136735:2045
5Celeste26128636:1344
6Etoile de Kivu261061034:3536
7Motema Pembe26714533:2535
8Anges Verts26611926:3229
9New Jack26611920:2629
10AC Rangers27781221:3529
11FC MK Etancheite26681215:3526
12FC Renaissance274131021:4025
13OC Renaissance264101214:3322
14Bukavu Dawa26281610:3714
15Martin Pecheur00000:00