Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Simba vs Mazembe

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mazembe in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazembe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Simba
6%
Draws
90%
Mazembe
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mazembe lately — more wins on the board than Simba.
  • Mazembe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Simba Clean Sheet 13%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba Mazembe
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 9 25
Draws 11 4
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 0.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Simba
4:1
May 18, 2026 Ligue 1
Simba vs Mazembe
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Simba
3:0
Nov 11, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Mazembe
1:1
Jul 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Mazembe
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 10 / 100
Mazembe 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba Mazembe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Simba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Simba scored in 55% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Mazembe conceded in 27% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS Mazembe
0.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe1493225:730
2Aigles du Congo1485121:1029
3AS Maniema1472516:1623
4AS Vita Club1454511:1219
5St Eloi Lupopo1446411:918
6Don Bosco1445513:1717
7Simba142579:1811
8Celeste1404108:254