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Simba vs Mazembe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Simba host Mazembe in the Ligue 1. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Mazembe have shipped 0.46 goals a game lately, while Simba have conceded 0.93 and scored 0.78. Past meetings favor Mazembe slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 3, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (0.44 - 0.88) back Mazembe to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Simba
35%
Draws
41%
Mazembe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Mazembe have won more games recently than Simba.
  • Win probability leans Simba's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Simba Clean Sheet 20%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba Mazembe
Matches Played 40 37
Wins 12 27
Draws 13 5
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.78 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Simba
4:1
May 18, 2026 Ligue 1
Simba vs Mazembe
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Simba
3:0
Nov 11, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Mazembe
1:1
Jul 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Mazembe
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 40 / 100
Mazembe 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba Mazembe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Simba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Simba scored in 50% of their last 40 games.

Mazembe let in goals in 32% of their last 37 matches.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS Mazembe
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Simba

(Home)
05 Nov
Butras
1 : 0
Simba
30 Oct
Simba
0 : 0
New Soger
27 Oct
Malole
0 : 0
Simba
20 Oct
Simba
2 : 0
Saint-Luc
22 Aug
Simba
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
Page 1 of 8

Mazembe

(Away)
25 Oct
Club Africain
1 : 0
Mazembe
17 Oct
Mazembe
1 : 1
Club Africain
12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1
Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1
Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanganyika 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
2 Lubumbashi Sport 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Malole 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
4 Don Bosco 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
5 Simba 4 1 2 1 2:1 5
6 Manika 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
7 St Eloi Lupopo 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
8 Blessing 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 New Soger 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
10 Butras 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
11 Sanga Balende 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
12 Saint-Luc 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
13 Mazembe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celeste 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
2 Ufalya Simba 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 FC MK Etancheite 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
4 Etoile de Kivu 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 FC Renaissance 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 AS Vita Club 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
7 AS Maniema 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Etoile du Congo 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Aigles du Congo 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
10 Dauphins Noirs 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
11 AC Rangers 4 0 2 2 1:3 2
12 New Jack 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
13 Novakin 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)