Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Rashid R.
34'
34'
Kagere M.
45'
45'
Waziri J.
AI Match Summary
Mbao in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mbao.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mbao haven't matched Simba's recent run of results.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Simba taking it.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Simba Clean Sheet 20%
Mbao Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Simba | Mbao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 47 | 30 |
| Wins | 39 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.36 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.43 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 16, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Mbao
2:3
Jan 16, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Simba
1:2
Mar 31, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Mbao
3:0
Sep 20, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Simba
1:0
Feb 26, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Mbao
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Simba Compare
Top Goalscorer Kagere M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Miraji A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Mbao Compare
Top Goalscorer Rashid R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Waziri J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Simba 58 / 100
Mbao 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Simba Mbao
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Simba found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (47 games).
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Simba stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Mbao let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Simba VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Simba
(Home) 13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1 Mighty Wanderers FC
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1 Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
22 Aug
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2 Simba
Page 1 of 10
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1 Mighty Wanderers FC
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
12 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Young Africans
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0 Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6
Mbao
(Away) 01 Aug
Mbao
4 : 2 Singida Black Stars
29 Jul
Singida Black Stars
2 : 0 Mbao
26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0 Ndanda
22 Jul
Mbao
3 : 0 Namungo
19 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1 Mbao
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Singida Black Stars
2 : 0 Mbao
19 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1 Mbao
16 Jul
Simba
2 : 3 Mbao
14 Jun
Azam
2 : 0 Mbao
17 Mar
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbao
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 78:21 | 88 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 45:28 | 72 |
| 3 | Azam | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 52:26 | 70 |
| 4 | Namungo | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 46:37 | 64 |
| 5 | Polisi Tanzania | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 37:35 | 55 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 34:32 | 54 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 33:30 | 53 |
| 8 | Kagera Sugar | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:41 | 52 |
| 9 | Biashara Mara United | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 29:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Tanzania Prisons | 38 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 35:30 | 49 |
| 11 | Mwadui | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Ruvu Shooting | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Kinondoni MC | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35:47 | 46 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 30:34 | 45 |
| 15 | Mbeya City | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 16 | Mbao | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:43 | 45 |
| 17 | Alliance | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 36:48 | 45 |
| 18 | Lipuli | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:51 | 44 |
| 19 | Ndanda | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 28:35 | 41 |
| 20 | Singida United | 38 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 23:73 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)
