Sport Picks
Simba vs Mbeya City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara Isamuhyo Stadium, Dar es Salaam 
AI Match Summary
Simba host Mbeya City in the Ligi Kuu Bara. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Mbeya City have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Simba have conceded 0.41 and scored 2.14. Past meetings favor Simba slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 17, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 0.69, favoring Simba. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Simba come out ahead of Mbeya City on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Simba's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Simba have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Simba | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 25 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 1 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.41 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Simba scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Simba went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Mbeya City let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Simba
(Home)Mbeya City
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:4 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Dodoma Jiji | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 10 |
| 11 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Geita Gold | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 5 |
| 15 | Pamba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
