Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Simba vs Petro Atletico

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Simba Logo

Simba

0 - 1
FT
Petro Atletico Logo

Petro Atletico

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Kinito
53'
Sub
Camara N. In: Ahoua J. C.
Out: Camara N.
53'
Sub
Mutale J. In: Sowah J.
Out: Mutale J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CAF Champions League game between Simba and Petro Atletico finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Petro Atletico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Simba
20%
Draws
42%
Petro Atletico
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Petro Atletico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Very High Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Simba and Petro Atletico close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Petro Atletico are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CAF Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Simba Clean Sheet 21%
Petro Atletico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba Petro Atletico
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 22 22
Draws 10 8
Losses 1 3
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 CAF Champions League
Petro Atletico vs Simba
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 CAF Champions League
Simba vs Petro Atletico
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Simba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Petro Atletico Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira Dias B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 16 / 100
Petro Atletico 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba Petro Atletico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Simba remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Simba scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Petro Atletico conceded in 36% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS Petro Atletico
2 Goals Scored 2
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Simba

(Home)
31 Jul
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2
Simba
28 Jul
Jamus
0 : 0
Simba
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
04 Jul
Simba
1 : 0
Azam
30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0
Kinondoni MC
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Petro Atletico

(Away)
06 Aug
Petro Atletico
4 : 0
Reus FC Reddis
05 Aug
Gimnastic de Tarragona
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
30 Jul
Petro Atletico
2 : 0
Teruel
25 Jul
Huesca
1 : 0
Petro Atletico
21 Jul
Petro Atletico
4 : 0
Al-Ettifaq Jeddah U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Berkane 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Power Dynamos 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Rivers United 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly 6 2 4 0 8:3 10
2 FAR Rabat 6 2 3 1 3:2 9
3 Young Africans 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
4 Kabylie 6 0 3 3 1:8 3
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Mamelodi Sundowns 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 MC Alger 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 St Eloi Lupopo 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stade Malien 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
2 Esperance Tunis 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Petro Atletico 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
4 Simba 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)