Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Simba vs Tanganyika

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Thu, Feb 19, 2026
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Simba host Tanganyika in the Ligue 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Simba at 0.71 goals for, 1.16 against; Tanganyika at 1.27 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor Simba slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 19, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.81) point toward Tanganyika. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Simba
30%
Draws
41%
Tanganyika
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tanganyika

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Simba haven't matched Tanganyika's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Simba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Simba Clean Sheet 11%
Tanganyika Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba Tanganyika
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.71 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 Ligue 1
Simba vs Tanganyika
0:3
Nov 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Tanganyika vs Simba
1:2
Jun 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Tanganyika vs Simba
0:2
Jun 3, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Tanganyika
1:2
Mar 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Tanganyika
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 35 / 100
Tanganyika 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba Tanganyika

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanganyika's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Simba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Simba's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS Tanganyika
0.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Simba

(Home)
22 Aug
Simba
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Red Arrows
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0
AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 7

Tanganyika

(Away)
15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2
Tshinkunku
11 Apr
Tanganyika
2 : 2
Saint-Luc
08 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 1
Sanga Balende
02 Apr
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 2
Tanganyika
29 Mar
Malole
3 : 1
Tanganyika
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)