Sport Picks
Simba vs Tanzania Prisons
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam 
Match Events
28'
28'
Abraham M.
42'
42'
Chama C.
Assist: Kante A.
44'
44'
Mwalimu S.
Assist: Gueye L.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Simba and Tanzania Prisons finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Simba come out ahead of Tanzania Prisons on wins alone.
- Simba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Simba have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Simba | Tanzania Prisons |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 31 |
| Wins | 30 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 1 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.92 | 0.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.36 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.08 | 0.53 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Tanzania Prisons
4:0
Feb 22, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Simba
0:2
Feb 11, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Tanzania Prisons
3:0
Oct 22, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Simba
0:1
Mar 6, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Tanzania Prisons
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Simba Compare
Top Goalscorer Abraham M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chama C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54
Tanzania Prisons Compare
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.29
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Simba 95 / 100
Tanzania Prisons 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Simba Tanzania Prisons
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Simba scored in 85% of their last 39 games.
Simba went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Tanzania Prisons conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Simba VS Tanzania Prisons
1 Goals Scored 0.67
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.17
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Simba
(Home) 06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1 Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
22 Aug
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2 Simba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2 Simba
Page 1 of 8
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
12 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Young Africans
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0 Mogadishu City
04 Jul
Simba
1 : 0 Azam
Page 1 of 5
Tanzania Prisons
(Away) 16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 7
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
24 Jun
Singida Black Stars
3 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
18 Jun
JKT Tanzania
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
