Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam

Simba

4 - 0

Tanzania Prisons

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Abraham M.

42'

Chama C.

Assist: Kante A.

44'

Mwalimu S.

Assist: Gueye L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Simba and Tanzania Prisons finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Simba

Draws

Tanzania Prisons

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Simba come out ahead of Tanzania Prisons on wins alone.
Simba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Simba have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%

Simba Clean Sheet 68%

Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Simba	Tanzania Prisons
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	21	8
Draws	6	6
Losses	0	16
Goals Scored	1.75	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.13	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.13	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Simba vs Tanzania Prisons

4:0

Feb 22, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Tanzania Prisons vs Simba

0:2

Feb 11, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Simba vs Tanzania Prisons

3:0

Oct 22, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Tanzania Prisons vs Simba

0:1

Mar 6, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Simba vs Tanzania Prisons

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Simba Compare

Top Goalscorer Abraham M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Chama C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Tanzania Prisons Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 95 / 100

Tanzania Prisons 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Simba Tanzania Prisons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Simba scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Simba went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Tanzania Prisons conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS Tanzania Prisons

1.75 Goals Scored 1.38

0.13 Goals Conceded 1.13

50% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Simba

(Home)

04 Jul

Simba

1 : 0

Azam

30 Jun

Simba

1 : 0

Kinondoni MC

27 Jun

Simba

2 : 0

Singida Black Stars

24 Jun

Mtibwa Sugar

0 : 3

Simba

20 Jun

Simba

4 : 0

Coastal Union

Page 1 of 6

Tanzania Prisons

(Away)

16 Jul

Tanzania Prisons

1 : 0

Polisi Tanzania

12 Jul

Polisi Tanzania

4 : 0

Tanzania Prisons

08 Jul

Tanzania Prisons

0 : 0

Mbeya City

05 Jul

Mbeya City

2 : 0

Tanzania Prisons

30 Jun

Mashujaa

0 : 1

Tanzania Prisons

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9

Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)

Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)

Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)