Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Simba vs TRA United

Tanzania Tanzania

Federation Cup KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Simba Logo

Simba

4 - 0
FT
TRA United Logo

TRA United

Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Chama C.
45' Event
Oura A. A.
50' Event
Mwalimu S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Simba
30%
Draws
12%
TRA United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Simba have won more games recently than TRA United.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Simba taking it.
  • Simba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Simba, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Simba here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%
TRA United Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba TRA United
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 25 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 1.78 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.34 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Federation Cup
Simba vs TRA United
4:0
Apr 9, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Simba
0:0
Mar 22, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs TRA United
3:0
Feb 2, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Simba
0:3
Aug 18, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs TRA United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Simba Compare

Top Goalscorer Chama C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oura A. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

TRA United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.42
Avg xA / game 0.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 95 / 100
TRA United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba TRA United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Simba's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: Simba remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

TRA United has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS TRA United
1.13 Goals Scored 0.43
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.71
50% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Simba

(Home)
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1
Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
22 Aug
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2
Simba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2
Simba
Page 1 of 7

TRA United

(Away)
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
TRA United
16 Aug
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Simba 3
Dodoma Jiji 1
Namungo 0
TRA United 2
Coastal Union 2
Pamba 0
Singida Black Stars 5
Mbeya City 1
Geita Gold 0
Mashujaa 1
Azam 4
Fountain Gate 0
JKT Tanzania 3
Mbuni 0
Young Africans 1
TMA Stars 0
Quarter-finals
Simba 4
TRA United 0
Coastal Union 1
Singida Black Stars 0
Mashujaa 0
Azam 1
JKT Tanzania 0
Young Africans 2
Semi-finals
Simba 4
Coastal Union 0
Azam 3
Young Africans 2
Final
Simba 1
Azam 0