Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Simba vs TRA United

Tanzania Tanzania

Federation Cup KMC Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Chama C.
45' Event
Oura A. A.
50' Event
Mwalimu S.

AI Match Summary

Simba in this Federation Cup matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Simba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Simba
6%
Draws
4%
TRA United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Simba have won more games recently than TRA United.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Simba taking it.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Simba have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%
TRA United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simba TRA United
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 27 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 0 10
Goals Scored 2.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Federation Cup
Simba vs TRA United
4:0
Apr 9, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Simba
0:0
Mar 22, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs TRA United
3:0
Feb 2, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Simba
0:3
Aug 18, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs TRA United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Simba Compare

Top Goalscorer Chama C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oura A. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

TRA United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simba 95 / 100
TRA United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simba TRA United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Simba found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (35 games).

Simba has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: TRA United conceded in 53% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Simba VS TRA United
2.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Simba3
Dodoma Jiji1
Namungo0
TRA United2
Coastal Union2
Pamba0
Singida Black Stars5
Mbeya City1
Geita Gold0
Mashujaa1
Azam4
Fountain Gate0
JKT Tanzania3
Mbuni0
Young Africans1
TMA Stars0
Quarter-finals
Simba4
TRA United0
Coastal Union1
Singida Black Stars0
Mashujaa0
Azam1
JKT Tanzania0
Young Africans2
Semi-finals
Simba4
Coastal Union0
Azam3
Young Africans2
Final
Simba1
Azam0