Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Simrishamn vs VMA

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023
Simrishamn Logo

Simrishamn

4 - 0
FT
VMA Logo

VMA

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 game between Simrishamn and VMA finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simrishamn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Simrishamn
15%
Draws
64%
VMA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VMA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Simrishamn come out ahead of VMA on wins alone.
  • 21% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Simrishamn Clean Sheet 14%
VMA Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Simrishamn VMA
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.44 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.19 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Simrishamn vs VMA
4:0
Jun 22, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
VMA vs Simrishamn
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Simrishamn 30 / 100
VMA 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Simrishamn VMA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simrishamn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: VMA conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Simrishamn found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

VMA's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Simrishamn VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Simrishamn

(Home)
28 Feb
Kristianstad
6 : 0
Simrishamn
01 Nov
Simrishamn
3 : 3
Solveborgs GOIF
26 Oct
Solveborgs GOIF
1 : 0
Simrishamn
19 Oct
IFK Trelleborg
3 : 0
Simrishamn
12 Oct
Simrishamn
1 : 2
IFK Hassleholm
Page 1 of 7

VMA

(Away)
22 Oct
Hassleholms IF
7 : 0
VMA
15 Oct
VMA
0 : 4
Kristianstad
08 Oct
Simrishamn
4 : 0
VMA
01 Oct
IFK Trelleborg
0 : 1
VMA
23 Sept
VMA
2 : 3
Balkan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosengard 26 20 3 3 62:27 63
2 Hassleholms IF 26 19 5 2 60:17 62
3 IFK Hassleholm 26 14 5 7 58:43 47
4 Karlskrona 26 13 7 6 47:32 46
5 Rappe GOIF 26 14 3 9 65:38 45
6 Simrishamn 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
7 Kristianstad 26 9 7 10 33:31 34
8 Balkan 26 9 6 11 41:53 33
9 IFK Berga 26 9 4 13 38:47 31
10 IFK Trelleborg 26 6 9 11 44:48 27
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 34:52 26
12 Osterlen FF 26 7 4 15 37:54 25
13 VMA 26 5 2 19 26:80 17
14 IFK Malmo 26 3 7 16 37:64 16
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 (Relegation)