Sport Picks

Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2016

FC Derby

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sinagoga play FC Derby in the Campeonato Nacional 2016. FC Derby are favorites here. Recently, Sinagoga averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded. FC Derby averaged 1.47 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Sinagoga won 0, FC Derby won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 11, 2016 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.78 for Sinagoga and 1.63 for FC Derby. This points to a FC Derby double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%

Sinagoga

26%

Draws

64%

FC Derby

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: FC Derby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sinagoga picked up more points recently compared to FC Derby.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.78 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Sinagoga Clean Sheet 14%

FC Derby Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sinagoga	FC Derby
Matches Played	5	30
Wins	0	15
Draws	2	7
Losses	3	8
Goals Scored	0.8	1.47
Goals Conceded	2	0.87
Expected Goals (xG)	0.80	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2016 Campeonato Nacional

Sinagoga vs FC Derby

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sinagoga 12 / 100

FC Derby 61 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sinagoga FC Derby

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Derby Win (2)

Secondary Pick FC Derby & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +400%

50.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sinagoga attacking → ← attacking FC Derby

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sinagoga scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

FC Derby let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sinagoga went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Derby lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

2 Points in last 5 52

0.80 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Derby	5	4	1	0	8:2	13
2	GD Varandinha	5	3	1	1	9:4	10
3	Desportivo Praia	5	2	1	2	7:6	7
4	Sporting da Brava	5	2	0	3	6:7	6
5	SC Atletico	5	1	1	3	5:10	4
6	Sinagoga	5	0	2	3	4:10	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mindelense	5	3	2	0	11:3	11
2	Academica Porto Novo	5	3	2	0	6:1	11
3	Academico do Sal	5	2	1	2	4:4	7
4	Academico 83	5	1	2	2	5:8	5
5	Sport Sal-Rei	5	1	1	3	8:11	4
6	Vulcanico	5	1	0	4	2:9	3