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Singida Black Stars vs Fountain Gate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Airtel Stadium, Singida
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Sowah J.
32'
Mpozi S.
46'
Sub
Athuman A. In: Mey H.
Out: Athuman A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Singida Black Stars and Fountain Gate finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Singida Black Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Singida Black Stars
20%
Draws
7%
Fountain Gate
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Singida Black Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Singida Black Stars come out ahead of Fountain Gate on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Singida Black Stars's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Singida Black Stars have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Singida Black Stars Fountain Gate
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.19 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Fountain Gate
3:0
Jun 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Singida Black Stars
4:3
Feb 11, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Fountain Gate
1:0
Apr 2, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Singida Black Stars
0:3
Oct 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Fountain Gate
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Singida Black Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Sowah J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adam Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Fountain Gate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Singida Black Stars 95 / 100
Fountain Gate 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Singida Black Stars Fountain Gate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Singida Black Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Singida Black Stars scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Fountain Gate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Singida Black Stars remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Singida Black Stars VS Fountain Gate
2.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Singida Black Stars

(Home)
09 Oct
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 1
Singida Black Stars
13 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0
Al-Ghazala
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
06 Sept
Al-Ghazala
1 : 7
Singida Black Stars
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
Page 1 of 7

Fountain Gate

(Away)
09 Oct
Fountain Gate
1 : 2
JKT Tanzania
13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1
Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Mbeya City
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 7 7 0 0 13:3 21
2 Young Africans 7 6 0 1 17:4 18
3 Azam 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
4 Mashujaa 7 4 0 3 8:7 12
5 Singida Black Stars 7 3 2 2 14:10 11
6 Dodoma Jiji 7 3 2 2 5:5 11
7 Polisi Tanzania 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
8 Mbeya City 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
9 JKT Tanzania 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
10 Namungo 8 3 0 5 7:11 9
11 Geita Gold 7 2 1 4 9:12 7
12 Coastal Union 7 2 1 4 6:11 7
13 TRA United 7 1 3 3 6:7 6
14 Kagera Sugar 7 1 2 4 8:15 5
15 Pamba 7 1 1 5 8:13 4
16 Fountain Gate 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)