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Sinop FC vs Santa Cruz MT

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sinop FC play Santa Cruz MT in the Matogrossense 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sinop FC averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Santa Cruz MT averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Sinop FC won 2, Santa Cruz MT won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 31, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Sinop FC and 1.00 for Santa Cruz MT. This points to a Sinop FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sinop FC
22%
Draws
18%
Santa Cruz MT
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sinop FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Sinop FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Santa Cruz MT.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Sinop FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Matogrossense 2 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sinop FC Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Cruz MT Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sinop FC Santa Cruz MT
Matches Played 31 16
Wins 13 5
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Sinop FC vs Santa Cruz MT
0:0
May 23, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Santa Cruz MT vs Sinop FC
0:1
May 9, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Sinop FC vs Santa Cruz MT
0:0
Apr 28, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Santa Cruz MT vs Sinop FC
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sinop FC 58 / 100
Santa Cruz MT 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sinop FC Santa Cruz MT

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sinop FC scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Santa Cruz MT let in goals in 63% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Sinop FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Santa Cruz MT lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sinop FC VS Santa Cruz MT
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sinop FC43108:210
2Sorriso EC421112:37
3Santa Cruz MT41303:16
4Gremio Sorriso41124:44
5Campo Novo40041:180
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uirapuru431015:410
2Acao42208:68
3Cacerense41125:44
4Paulistano FC40221:62
5Atletico MT40223:122