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Sinop FC vs Araguaia

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Matogrossense 2020
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AI Match Summary

Sinop FC play Araguaia in the Campeonato Matogrossense 2020. Sinop FC are favorites here. Recently, Sinop FC averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. Araguaia averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Sinop FC won 5, Araguaia won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 22, 2020 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Sinop FC and 0.71 for Araguaia. This points to a Sinop FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Sinop FC
15%
Draws
19%
Araguaia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sinop FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Sinop FC picked up more points recently compared to Araguaia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 0.71 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Sinop FC Clean Sheet 27%
Araguaia Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sinop FC Araguaia
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.29 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2020 Matogrossense
Sinop FC vs Araguaia
4:0
Mar 17, 2019 Matogrossense
Araguaia vs Sinop FC
0:2
Mar 22, 2018 Matogrossense
Sinop FC vs Araguaia
1:0
Mar 17, 2018 Matogrossense
Araguaia vs Sinop FC
1:2
Jan 24, 2018 Matogrossense
Sinop FC vs Araguaia
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sinop FC 65 / 100
Araguaia 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sinop FC Araguaia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sinop FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sinop FC & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sinop FC attacking → ← attacking Araguaia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sinop FC scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Araguaia let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Sinop FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Araguaia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 20
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.67
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cuiaba963021:521
2Operario VG953113:418
3Uniao Rondonopolis945013:717
4Sinop FC942318:1514
5Nova Mutum EC93429:613
6Pocone932411:911
7Dom Bosco932413:1611
8Luverdense922511:208
9Mixto92169:197
10Araguaia91084:213