Sport Picks
Sint Maarten vs Aruba
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Mayagüez Athletics Stadium, Mayagüez 
Match Events
34'
34'
Rua S.
66'
66'
Sub
de Vries E. In: Illidge T.
Out: de Vries E.
66'
66'
Sub
Gerritsen K. In: Lake G.
Out: Gerritsen K.
AI Match Summary
Sint Maarten in this CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sint Maarten.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sint Maarten
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Aruba haven't matched Sint Maarten's recent run of results.
- Aruba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 15%
Aruba Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sint Maarten | Aruba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.33 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.07 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 18, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Aruba vs Sint Maarten
0:1
Sep 6, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Aruba
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sint Maarten Compare
Top Goalscorer Lake G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Olivacce R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 1.03
Aruba Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sint Maarten 10 / 100
Aruba 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sint Maarten Aruba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aruba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Aruba conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Sint Maarten remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Sint Maarten scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Scoring Trends
Sint Maarten VS Aruba
1.14 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 3
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Sint Maarten
(Home) 30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
18 Nov
Aruba
0 : 1 Sint Maarten
Page 1 of 6
15 Nov
Sint Maarten
0 : 8 Haiti
11 Oct
Sint Maarten
3 : 2 Puerto Rico
06 Sept
Sint Maarten
2 : 0 Aruba
17 Mar
Sint Maarten
1 : 1 Anguilla
16 Nov
Sint Maarten
0 : 2 Guadeloupe
Page 1 of 3
Aruba
(Away) 07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0 Aruba
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Macau
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3 Aruba
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0 Aruba
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0 Aruba
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3 Aruba
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0 Aruba
04 Jun
Barbados
1 : 1 Aruba
25 Mar
Cambodia
1 : 2 Aruba
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Salvador | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bonaire | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 3 | Grenada | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Saint Martin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | 6 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 4 | Aruba | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:17 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Bermuda | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 12 |
| 3 | Dominica | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | 4 |
| 4 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
