Sport Picks
Sint Maarten vs Aruba
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League Mayagüez Athletics Stadium, Mayagüez 
Match Events
34'
34'
Rua S.
66'
66'
Sub
de Vries E. In: Illidge T.
Out: de Vries E.
66'
66'
Sub
Gerritsen K. In: Lake G.
Out: Gerritsen K.
AI Match Summary
Sint Maarten in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sint Maarten.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Aruba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aruba haven't matched Sint Maarten's recent run of results.
- Aruba are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 15%
Aruba Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sint Maarten | Aruba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 18, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Aruba vs Sint Maarten
0:1
Sep 6, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Aruba
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sint Maarten Compare
Top Goalscorer Lake G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Olivacce R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Aruba Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sint Maarten 27 / 100
Aruba 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sint Maarten Aruba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ARU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Aruba conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Sint Maarten remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Sint Maarten scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Scoring Trends
Sint Maarten VS Aruba
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Sint Maarten
(Home) 30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
18 Nov
Aruba
0 : 1 Sint Maarten
Page 1 of 6
15 Nov
Sint Maarten
0 : 8 Haiti
11 Oct
Sint Maarten
3 : 2 Puerto Rico
06 Sept
Sint Maarten
2 : 0 Aruba
17 Mar
Sint Maarten
1 : 1 Anguilla
16 Nov
Sint Maarten
0 : 2 Guadeloupe
Page 1 of 3
Aruba
(Away) 07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0 Aruba
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1 Macau
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3 Aruba
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0 Aruba
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0 Aruba
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3 Aruba
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0 Aruba
04 Jun
Barbados
1 : 1 Aruba
25 Mar
Cambodia
1 : 2 Aruba
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Salvador | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bonaire | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 3 | Grenada | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Saint Martin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | 6 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 4 | Aruba | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:17 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Bermuda | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 12 |
| 3 | Dominica | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | 4 |
| 4 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)