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Sint Maarten vs Belize

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League FFB Stadium, Belmopan
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sint Maarten host Belize in the CONCACAF Nations League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Sint Maarten have averaged 1.71 scored and 2.21 conceded recently, against Belize's 1.39 scored and 1.55 conceded. Head-to-head, Sint Maarten have won 1 to Belize's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 27, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.63 - 1.06) back Sint Maarten to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Sint Maarten
20%
Draws
28%
Belize
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sint Maarten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sint Maarten haven't matched Belize's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sint Maarten a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 20%
Belize Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sint Maarten Belize
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.71 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Belize vs Sint Maarten
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sint Maarten 42 / 100
Belize 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sint Maarten Belize

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Sint Maarten went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sint Maarten scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Belize has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sint Maarten VS Belize
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sint Maarten

(Home)
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3
Sint Maarten
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3
Sint Maarten
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
18 Nov
Aruba
0 : 1
Sint Maarten
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Belize

(Away)
30 Mar
Guyana
3 : 1
Belize
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3
Sint Maarten
18 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
2 : 6
Belize
15 Nov
Saint Martin
0 : 1
Belize
08 Jun
Belize
0 : 2
Panama
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