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Sint Maarten vs Saint Kitts and Nevis

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sint Maarten play Saint Kitts and Nevis in the CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sint Maarten averaged 1.77 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. Saint Kitts and Nevis averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Sint Maarten won 1, Saint Kitts and Nevis won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 12, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.08 for Sint Maarten and 1.69 for Saint Kitts and Nevis. This points to a Sint Maarten double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sint Maarten
26%
Draws
34%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Sint Maarten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sint Maarten picked up more points recently compared to Saint Kitts and Nevis.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.08 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 13%
Saint Kitts and Nevis Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sint Maarten Saint Kitts and Nevis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.77 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2025 CONCACAF Series
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Sint Maarten
0:0
Oct 15, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Sint Maarten
0:1
Oct 12, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
2:3
May 25, 1993 Caribbean Cup
Sint Maarten vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sint Maarten Compare

Top Goalscorer Lake G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kort I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Saint Kitts and Nevis Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams T.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sint Maarten 39 / 100
Saint Kitts and Nevis 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sint Maarten Saint Kitts and Nevis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sint Maarten or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sint Maarten attacking → ← attacking Saint Kitts and Nevis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sint Maarten scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Saint Kitts and Nevis let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Sint Maarten went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Saint Kitts and Nevis lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 37
1.17 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guadeloupe650116:315
2Saint Lucia631210:610
3Sint Maarten62046:156
4Saint Kitts and Nevis61144:124
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nicaragua651017:116
2Dominican Republic631214:610
3Montserrat63039:149
4Barbados60067:260
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1French Guiana631210:610
2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines630313:149
3Bermuda62228:98
4Belize62135:77
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guyana550020:515
2Puerto Rico640222:1012
3Antigua and Barbuda61149:224
4Bahamas50147:211