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Sint Maarten vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League FFB Stadium, Belmopan
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Anderson O.
22'
Johnson A.
24' Event
Anderson O.
Assist: Spring D.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Sint Maarten and Saint Vincent and the Grenadines finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Sint Maarten
15%
Draws
80%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 10%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sint Maarten Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.57 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Sint Maarten
4:0
Oct 3, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sint Maarten Compare

Top Goalscorer de Nooijer M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quinton C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson O.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sint Maarten 10 / 100
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sint Maarten Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Sint Maarten found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Sint Maarten remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sint Maarten VS Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sint Maarten

(Home)
06 Oct
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
4 : 0
Sint Maarten
03 Oct
Sint Maarten
2 : 4
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
29 Sept
French Guiana
1 : 0
Sint Maarten
27 Sept
Sint Maarten
0 : 1
Belize
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
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Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

(Away)
06 Oct
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
4 : 0
Sint Maarten
03 Oct
Sint Maarten
2 : 4
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
30 Sept
Belize
0 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
26 Sept
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
2 : 1
French Guiana
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
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