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Sint Maarten vs United States Virgin Islands

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Mack J.
82' Event
Gerritsen K.

AI Match Summary

Sint Maarten host United States Virgin Islands in the CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Sint Maarten at 1.25 goals for, 2.38 against; United States Virgin Islands at 1.5 for, 2.75 against. Past meetings favor Sint Maarten slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2023, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.94, favoring Sint Maarten. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sint Maarten
28%
Draws
22%
United States Virgin Islands
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sint Maarten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sint Maarten has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to United States Virgin Islands.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Sint Maarten.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 10%
United States Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sint Maarten United States Virgin Islands
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
United States Virgin Islands vs Sint Maarten
1:2
Jun 3, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs United States Virgin Islands
1:1
Mar 27, 2016 Caribbean Cup
Sint Maarten vs United States Virgin Islands
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sint Maarten Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerritsen K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

United States Virgin Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Mack J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sint Maarten 47 / 100
United States Virgin Islands 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sint Maarten United States Virgin Islands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sint Maarten scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

United States Virgin Islands let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Sint Maarten went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

United States Virgin Islands lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sint Maarten VS United States Virgin Islands
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sint Maarten632119:911
2Bonaire631212:1110
3Turks and Caicos Islands630310:169
4United States Virgin Islands61145:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Kitts and Nevis43109:410
2Aruba41125:54
3Saint Martin40222:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Lucia44008:212
2Anguilla40222:52
3Dominica40222:52
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Puerto Rico440017:212
2Cayman Islands40223:102
3British Virgin Islands40223:112