Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sintrense vs Estrela Vendas Novas

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sintrense play Estrela Vendas Novas in the Taça de Portugal 2024/2025. Sintrense are favorites here. Recently, Sintrense averaged 1.46 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. Estrela Vendas Novas averaged 0.53 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. In past meetings, Sintrense won 3, Estrela Vendas Novas won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 19, 2025 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Sintrense and 1.19 for Estrela Vendas Novas. This points to a Sintrense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Sintrense
15%
Draws
11%
Estrela Vendas Novas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sintrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sintrense picked up more points recently compared to Estrela Vendas Novas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Sintrense Clean Sheet 20%
Estrela Vendas Novas Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sintrense Estrela Vendas Novas
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 23 2
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 26
Goals Scored 1.46 0.53
Goals Conceded 0.92 2.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Estrela Vendas Novas vs Sintrense
0:4
Sep 22, 2024 Taça de Portugal
Sintrense vs Estrela Vendas Novas
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs Estrela Vendas Novas
3:0
Aug 28, 2011 Taça de Portugal
Sintrense vs Estrela Vendas Novas
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sintrense Compare

Top Goalscorer Simoes Alves Sanca B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Estrela Vendas Novas Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva Gamito T. D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sintrense 71 / 100
Estrela Vendas Novas 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sintrense Estrela Vendas Novas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sintrense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sintrense & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.5%
1.52
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sintrense attacking → ← attacking Estrela Vendas Novas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sintrense scored in 79% of their last 39 games.

Estrela Vendas Novas let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sintrense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Estrela Vendas Novas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

76 Points in last 5 8
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00