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Sioux Falls Spitfire vs Thunder Bay Chill

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2007
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AI Match Summary

The USL Premier Development League 2007 game between Sioux Falls Spitfire and Thunder Bay Chill finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thunder Bay Chill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sioux Falls Spitfire
15%
Draws
51%
Thunder Bay Chill
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thunder Bay Chill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Thunder Bay Chill carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Thunder Bay Chill taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sioux Falls Spitfire Clean Sheet 10%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sioux Falls Spitfire Thunder Bay Chill
Matches Played 16 40
Wins 3 27
Draws 2 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.94 2.27
Goals Conceded 2.56 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2007 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Sioux Falls Spitfire
6:0
Jul 13, 2007 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Sioux Falls Spitfire
0:1
Jun 2, 2007 USL League Two
Sioux Falls Spitfire vs Thunder Bay Chill
0:0
Jun 1, 2007 USL League Two
Sioux Falls Spitfire vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sioux Falls Spitfire 10 / 100
Thunder Bay Chill 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sioux Falls Spitfire Thunder Bay Chill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thunder Bay Chill Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sioux Falls Spitfire scored in 63% of their last 16 games.

Thunder Bay Chill has conceded goals in 70% of their last 40 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sioux Falls Spitfire stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Thunder Bay Chill
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sioux Falls Spitfire

(Home)
14 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
6 : 0
Sioux Falls Spitfire
13 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
0 : 1
Sioux Falls Spitfire
08 Jul
Sioux Falls Spitfire
4 : 1
Kansas City Brass
06 Jul
Colorado Rapids U23
4 : 0
Sioux Falls Spitfire
01 Jul
St. Louis Lions
2 : 1
Sioux Falls Spitfire
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Thunder Bay Chill

(Away)
20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0
Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0
Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2
Minneapolis City
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