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Siracusa vs Athletic Palermo Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I Stadio Nicola De Simone, Siracusa
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Pisciotta A.
45' Event
Costanzo G.
49' Event
Costanzo G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I game between Siracusa and Athletic Palermo finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siracusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Siracusa
30%
Draws
27%
Athletic Palermo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Siracusa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Siracusa haven't matched Athletic Palermo's recent run of results.
  • Siracusa are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 16%
Athletic Palermo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siracusa Athletic Palermo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 12 3
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs Athletic Palermo
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siracusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Costanzo G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader De Caro F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Athletic Palermo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pisciotta A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pisciotta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siracusa 75 / 100
Athletic Palermo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siracusa Athletic Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siracusa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Siracusa has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Siracusa scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Athletic Palermo has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Siracusa VS Athletic Palermo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Siracusa

(Home)
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Siracusa
4 : 2
Athletic Palermo
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Athletic Palermo

(Away)
27 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Milazzo
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Athletic Palermo
1 : 1
Digiesse PraiaTortora
13 Sept
Athletic Palermo
3 : 0
Enna
06 Sept
Siracusa
4 : 2
Athletic Palermo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 5 5 0 0 15:0 15
2 Sambiase 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
3 Vibonese 5 3 1 1 13:5 10
4 Igea Virtus 5 3 1 1 13:10 10
5 Digiesse PraiaTortora 5 2 3 0 8:2 9
6 Calcio Avola 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
7 Licata 5 2 2 1 6:7 8
8 Athletic Palermo 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
9 Nissa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 Milazzo 5 2 0 3 4:8 6
11 Siracusa 5 3 2 0 8:4 4
12 Castrumfavara 5 1 1 3 5:5 4
13 ASD Modica Calcio 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Gela 5 1 1 3 4:6 3
15 USD Ragusa 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
16 Lamezia 5 0 2 3 5:13 2
17 Enna 5 0 1 4 0:12 1
18 Trapani 5 1 0 4 2:10 -2
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)